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Last updated: Thursday, December 17, 2009

Cloud computing enthusiasts be warned. Next year, computing services handled remotely and delivered via the Internet may undergo some kind of “catastrophe” that alerts companies and consumers to the risks of relying on the so-called cloud, says Mark Anderson, chief executive of Strategic News Service, an industry newsletter circulated to senior executives at technology companies including Intel, Dell, and Microsoft. A growing number of businesses and individuals are handing storage and various other tasks to outside providers, from photographers archiving pictures with Yahoo!’s Flickr to companies turning over complicated computing operations to Amazon. Tech prognosticator Anderson suggests that the tendency could backfire in some high-profile way in the coming year. “It could either be a service-outage-type catastrophe or a security-based catastrophe,” he says. “In either case, it will be big enough. It will be the kind of disaster that makes you say, if you’re a [Chief Information Officer]: ‘That’s why I didn’t get involved with the cloud.’” The warning on cloud computing is one of a handful of predictions from Anderson, who in December makes forecasts for the coming year. He also says computing wars will intensify in hardware and operating systems, especially in the mobile arena. Growth in netbooks and smartphones and increased reliance on cloud computing will continue to transform personal computing from the market dominated by Microsoft’s Windows and to a lesser extent Apple’s Mac. “The desktop will seem like a calm island that is surrounded by chaos, where all these opportunities are with no clear winners,” he says. Anderson is particularly bearish when it comes to the cloud. “My hunch is that there will never really be a secure cloud,” he says. Businesses will view cloud services more suspiciously and consumers will refuse to use them for anything important, he says. Securosis: Cloud Will Keep Growing Cloud computing experts note that…

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Cloud ‘Catastrophe’ To Dawn in 2010?

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